Sunday, March 23, 2008

Poker Frustration and Random Musings

So my goal for this past Friday was to play 1000 hands of poker because I know that I have to get a lot more hands in to get the kind of experience that I need. To sum it all up, I only managed 650 hands before I became too disgusted with myself. I know I'm a pretty patient guy when it comes to things I'm motivated in and I was doing pretty well up to the 400 hand mark where it all went downhill. I got my money in good against a 1/2 stacker with QQ (My notes on him told me he was going in with KT, Ax, etc.) and of course when I finally go head to head with him, he has KK. That didn't really hurt me too much because I know I'd own his stack a lot of the time but it seemed that like that was the play that got the ball rolling on my tilt. My stats were 13.6/11/2.4 >650, which were super tight, but could have been profitable if I kept my cool. Here are some plays that I didn't like:

Seat 1: mack87 ($11.25)
Seat 2: Furry Nut ($19.95)
Seat 3: CRHardHitter08 ($5.25) -
Seat 4: hersheymaster ($2.05) -
Seat 5: gensing ($3.70) -
Seat 6: 4 King Luck ($10)


PRE-FLOP:

hersheymaster posts small blind $0.05
gensing posts BIG blind $0.10
Dealt To: mack87


RAISE mack87 ($0.45)
FOLD Furry Nut
RAISE CRHardHitter08 ($1.50)
FOLD hersheymaster
FOLD gensing
RAISE mack87 ($5)
RAISE CRHardHitter08 ($5.25)
CALL mack87 ($0.25)


FLOP:

Pot: $10.65




TURN:

Pot: $10.65




RIVER:

Pot: $10.65




SHOWDOWN:
CRHardHitter08:

mack87:


CRHardHitter08 collected $9.65 from main pot with three of a kind, Kings

SUMMARY:
Total pot: $10 Rake: $1

Final Board:



Like I said, this was the one that got me tilting somewhat. I knew I was a dog once the cards were shown but the Q on the flop gave me hope, only to have a K on the river. Ugh that hurt. I got my money in good against this guy but to think that I almost sucked out definitely didn't help.

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Seat 1: Tunny55 ($12.55)
Seat 2: fullyloaded777 ($5.55) Sitting Out
Seat 3: jxxr ($4.05)
Seat 4: macbball31 ($9.40) -
Seat 5: mack87 ($10) -
Seat 6: POPPY5252 ($7.55) -


PRE-FLOP:

mack87 posts small blind $0.05
POPPY5252 posts BIG blind $0.10
Dealt To: mack87


CALL Tunny55 ($0.10)
CALL jxxr ($0.10)
CALL macbball31 ($0.10)
CALL mack87 ($0.05)
RAISE POPPY5252 ($0.40)
CALL Tunny55 ($0.30)
FOLD jxxr
CALL macbball31 ($0.30)
CALL mack87 ($0.30)


FLOP:

Pot: $1.7


BET mack87 ($1)
RAISE POPPY5252 ($2)
FOLD Tunny55
FOLD macbball31
CALL mack87 ($1)


TURN:

Pot: $5.7


BET mack87 ($3)
CALL POPPY5252 ($3)


RIVER:

Pot: $11.7


CHECK mack87
BET POPPY5252 ($2.15)
CALL mack87 ($2.15)


SHOWDOWN:
POPPY5252:

MUCK mack87

POPPY5252 collected $15 from main pot with a straight, Ten high

SUMMARY:
Total pot: $16 Rake: $1

Final Board:


Seat 1: Tunny55 folded on the Flop - Net Gain/Loss: ($-0.4)
Seat 2: fullyloaded777 is sitting out - Net Gain/Loss: ($0)
Seat 3: jxxr folded before the Flop - Net Gain/Loss: ($-0.1)
Seat 4: macbball31 button folded on the Flop - Net Gain/Loss: ($-0.4)
Seat 5: mack87 small blind mucked [6s 6d] - three of a kind, Sixes - Net Gain/Loss: ($-7.55)
Seat 6: POPPY5252 big blind showed [9h Qc] and won 15 with a straight, Ten high - Net Gain/Loss: ($7.45)



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This hand with 66 was ugly from the get-go but I held on because I put Poppy on a two pair type hand which of course he didn't have. After the 7 came down on the turn, it should have been an easy c/f which I had been pretty good at doing earlier in the session but my old habits came to haunt me. After he called on the turn, I knew I was done but I was already committed to the pot. When he finally bets into my on the riv (another ugly card) I just feel obligated to call the remaining part of his stack. For next time, I know that if the board wasn't as ugly I'd probably call, but I should have c/f on the turn card. Blah.

I also had another almost identical hand with AQs and TPTK on a very drawy board, except villain slowplayed AK on turned the nut straight. Another c/f type situation on a very drawy board.

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Seat 1: SBucko ($8.20)
Seat 2: rman62 ($6.75)
Seat 3: alexandra5 ($9.15) -
Seat 4: mack87 ($11.65) -
Seat 5: OSUalltheway ($3.90) -
Seat 6: dgtlblcknss ($11.15) Sitting Out


PRE-FLOP:

mack87 posts small blind $0.05
OSUalltheway posts BIG blind $0.10
Dealt To: mack87


CALL SBucko ($0.10)
FOLD rman62
CALL alexandra5 ($0.10)
RAISE mack87 ($0.40)
FOLD OSUalltheway
CALL SBucko ($0.30)
CALL alexandra5 ($0.30)


FLOP:

Pot: $1.3


BET mack87 ($0.80)
CALL SBucko ($0.80)
FOLD alexandra5


TURN:

Pot: $2.9


BET mack87 ($1.50)
CALL SBucko ($1.50)


RIVER:

Pot: $5.9


BET mack87 ($3)
RAISE SBucko ($5.50)
CALL mack87 ($2.50)


SHOWDOWN:
SBucko:

MUCK mack87

SBucko collected $15.9 from main pot with a straight, Six high

SUMMARY:
Total pot: $16 Rake: $1

Final Board:


Seat 1: SBucko showed [4h 5d] and won 15.90 with a straight, Six high - Net Gain/Loss: ($7.7)

Seat 2: rman62 didnt bet folded - Net Gain/Loss: ($0)
Seat 3: alexandra5 button folded on the Flop - Net Gain/Loss: ($-0.4)
Seat 4: mack87 small blind mucked [Ad Ac] - a pair of Aces - Net Gain/Loss: ($-8.2)
Seat 5: OSUalltheway big blind folded before the Flop - Net Gain/Loss: ($-0.1)
Seat 6: dgtlblcknss is sitting out - Net Gain/Loss: ($0)


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This hand absolutely killed me. I had a dream flop here with Kxx and unless Sbucko has KK (which he definitely didn't), I had by far the best hand. Turn card was blank but here was my mistake I believe. Pot was at $3 and bet only 1/2, I still think it was a bad call on Sbucko to call my bet with basically only a 7 or 2 as an out but he rivered the two and went AI with me and I was forced to call the extra 2.50. Ugly.

Those four hands described were my biggest losers and other than that, I was very happy with my play although disappointed with the outcome obviously. Another weakness in my game though I noticed on two of my hands was when I had the nut straight when the river completes a flush draw. Although I won both as neither of the opponents were playing to the flush, I could have extracted a lot more out of them. I can't become scared once that flush draw hits, especially if they aren't playing like they would be drawing to a flush. Just a thought.

On non-poker news, I have an interview tomorrow for my summer job, a camp counselor at the U of M summer camps so I'm pretty psyched for that. I realized during the last year at the bank that I can't stay in one spot (an office) for very long, it drives me crazy. I also hate working Saturdays as it kills my weekends, especially in the summer. So I'm banking a lot on this interview, if I don't get it there could be some potential waterworks.

Last on the agenda is to report I bought some BMO stock a couple weeks ago when it hit $41.68cdn. I only purchased $1 500 worth (that's all I have lying around) but I think it's a good start. A lot of people think I'm crazy for buying a financial stock right now but here are my reasons why I bought it:
1) I'm not looking to flip right away - I figure I have a 1 year time line (roughly) on holding this stock and I believe that the finance industry stocks will be going very far up (and down) over that time. Buying at its 5 year low gives me pretty good odds.
2) I have a 7% div on that stock ($100/yr). So long as BMO doesn't cut it's div %, I believe I do have some leverage.
3) The entire industry is depressed right now, if I thought BMO would be tanking irregularly compared to other banks, I obviously wouldn't have invested in it.

There are of courses risks involved. The assets BMO holds in the subprime market are pretty volatile and could lead to more write-downs and issuing of equity (just released that BMO restructured it) and that was a gamble for sure, but only a short-term one. If the div % is cut, that'll send the stock downward, but since banks rarely do that for shareholders, I'm saying 80/20 that it won't happen.

Anyways, I wrote a lot today, gotta let it all sink in a look to be more profitable this week.
BTW, goal for the end of march is to have 10 000 hands under my belt. I thought of quitting after Friday but I cooled off and I'm ready to get back into the saddle.

S

1 comment:

jethro said...

Yo yo. Really liked the blog dude. Got a couple comments about the hands though.

The set of 6's hand was a mistake on the flop. Preflop was good and flop was awesome; I really like the lead although it could have been a bit bigger. The mistake was on the flop. When he minraises you you have to reraise him and get it in. There are so many turn cards that suck and it will be tough to get away from if they hit. Just repop him and get it in.

With the AA hand the line bet bet bet is good but the turn bet sizing was a mistake. You wrote that you realized it was too small, but that opponent made a mistake. Let's see though. He's 4.9-1 against to hit his draw on the riv. You give him 3-1 on his turn call so for the call to be profitable he needs to win another 2-1 or $1.50 x 2 = $3. On the river he won $5 from you which made his implied odds good enough to make it a good call.

Otherwise the hands are good and I really like your mindset about how you approach the game. Realize that in the QQ vs. KK hand KK is a very small part of his range, but it is still there. You still have 20% equity anyways, which isn't bad.

Good post dude, keep it up. Hope BMO works out for ya.